SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Spartans |
32.84% ( 0.08) | 25.99% ( 0.02) | 41.17% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.63% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.33% ( -0.06) | 50.67% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.42% ( -0.05) | 72.58% ( 0.06) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( 0.03) | 29.12% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.96% ( 0.03) | 65.05% ( -0.03) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% ( -0.08) | 24.34% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.27% ( -0.11) | 58.73% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.84% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.16% |
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