SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
37.52% ( -0.25) | 25.62% ( -0.01) | 36.87% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 55.57% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.53% ( 0.04) | 48.47% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.4% ( 0.03) | 70.6% ( -0.03) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( -0.12) | 25.27% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.97% ( -0.16) | 60.03% ( 0.17) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( 0.16) | 25.63% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% ( 0.22) | 60.53% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.52% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.87% |
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