SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | Dumbarton |
45.25% ( 0.12) | 24.35% ( -0.01) | 30.41% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.12% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( -0.01) | 44.36% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% ( -0.01) | 66.74% ( 0.01) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.26% ( 0.05) | 19.75% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.22% ( 0.08) | 51.78% ( -0.07) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( -0.08) | 27.59% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( -0.1) | 63.11% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartans | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.41% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
