SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Spartans |
31.29% ( 0.06) | 24.6% ( 0.02) | 44.11% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.71% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.9% ( -0.04) | 45.11% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.55% ( -0.04) | 67.45% ( 0.04) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( 0.02) | 27.38% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( 0.02) | 62.84% ( -0.02) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( -0.05) | 20.54% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% ( -0.08) | 53.06% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Spartans |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.29% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.6% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 44.11% |
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