SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
40.88% ( 0.76) | 24.52% ( 0.13) | 34.59% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 59.15% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.27% ( -0.76) | 43.72% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.89% ( -0.75) | 66.11% ( 0.74) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.56% ( 0.03) | 21.44% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.54% ( 0.05) | 54.45% ( -0.06) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( -0.85) | 24.71% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( -1.2) | 59.25% ( 1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.59% |
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