Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.
Result | ||
Stranraer | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
40.39% ( 0.05) | 24.83% ( -0.03) | 34.78% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.1% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.9% ( 0.15) | 45.1% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.55% ( 0.14) | 67.45% ( -0.14) |
Stranraer Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% ( 0.09) | 22.27% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.28% ( 0.14) | 55.72% ( -0.14) |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.75% ( 0.06) | 25.25% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40% ( 0.08) | 60% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Stranraer | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 40.39% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.78% |
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