SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for an Annan Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Annan Athletic |
58.26% ( 2.03) | 21.01% ( -0.68) | 20.72% ( -1.35) |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.17% ( 1.42) | 37.83% ( -1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.92% ( 1.5) | 60.08% ( -1.5) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.22% ( 1.08) | 12.78% ( -1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.93% ( 2.17) | 39.07% ( -2.17) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% ( -0.42) | 31.65% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.94% ( -0.49) | 68.06% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.27)4-2 @ 2% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.86% Total : 58.26% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.01% | 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.58% Total : 20.72% |
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