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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
50.44% ( 0.49) | 23.19% ( -0.09) | 26.37% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 59.09% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.27% ( 0.11) | 41.73% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.86% ( 0.11) | 64.14% ( -0.11) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% ( 0.22) | 16.68% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.45% ( 0.4) | 46.55% ( -0.39) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( -0.24) | 29.08% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( -0.29) | 65% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 50.44% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.36% Total : 26.37% |
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