Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.