Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
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