SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Elgin City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
41.38% ( 0.54) | 24.16% ( -0.01) | 34.46% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 60.44% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.97% ( -0.08) | 42.03% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.57% ( -0.09) | 64.43% ( 0.09) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( 0.22) | 20.48% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.04% ( 0.34) | 52.96% ( -0.34) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( -0.34) | 23.99% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% ( -0.48) | 58.24% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.89% Total : 41.38% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.46% |
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