Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
