SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Annan Athletic | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 9 | Elgin City | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 10 | Albion Rovers | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Forfar Athletic | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Stranraer | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Stenhousemuir | 3 | -3 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Stranraer |
38.5% ( -0.27) | 25.27% ( -0.08) | 36.23% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.06% ( 0.38) | 46.93% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.81% ( 0.35) | 69.18% ( -0.35) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% ( 0.03) | 24.04% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.68% ( 0.04) | 58.31% ( -0.04) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( 0.38) | 25.28% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.96% ( 0.51) | 60.04% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.5% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.23% |
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