Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Edinburgh City	Draw	Stranraer
31.63% ( 0.03)	23.68% ( -0.34)	44.7% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 61.13% (

1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.32% (

1.61)

40.68% (

-1.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.94% (

1.63)

63.06% (

-1.63)

Edinburgh City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

0.8)

25% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.34% (

1.09)

59.66% (

-1.09)

Stranraer Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.51% (

0.78)

18.49% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.29% (

1.3)

49.7% (

-1.3)

Score Analysis

Edinburgh City 31.63%

Stranraer 44.7%

Draw 23.67%

Edinburgh City	Draw	Stranraer
2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.63%	1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.35) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.55% Total : 44.7%