SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | East Fife |
44.5% ( -0.03) | 24.73% ( 0.03) | 30.77% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.09% ( -0.12) | 45.91% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.78% ( -0.12) | 68.22% ( 0.12) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( -0.06) | 20.7% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.69% ( -0.11) | 53.3% ( 0.1) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( -0.06) | 28.12% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( -0.08) | 63.79% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 44.5% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.77% |
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