SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest East Fife win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Stranraer |
35.57% ( 0.13) | 24.93% ( -0.2) | 39.5% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.87% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% ( 0.93) | 45.46% ( -0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( 0.89) | 67.79% ( -0.88) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% ( 0.51) | 24.96% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.39% ( 0.7) | 59.61% ( -0.7) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( 0.45) | 22.87% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.38% ( 0.66) | 56.61% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Stranraer |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.57% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.5% |
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