SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Dumbarton |
33.81% ( 0.04) | 25.63% ( -0.02) | 40.56% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.13% ( 0.11) | 48.87% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% ( 0.1) | 70.96% ( -0.1) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% ( 0.08) | 27.62% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.83% ( 0.1) | 63.16% ( -0.1) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( 0.04) | 23.84% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.97% ( 0.06) | 58.02% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.81% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.56% |
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