SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Stranraer |
45.47% ( -0.06) | 24.01% ( 0.03) | 30.52% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.35% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.23% ( -0.11) | 42.77% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.82% ( -0.11) | 65.18% ( 0.11) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( -0.07) | 19.01% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.43% ( -0.11) | 50.57% ( 0.11) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% ( -0.03) | 26.72% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.01% ( -0.04) | 61.99% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Stranraer |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 45.47% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.52% |
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