Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stranraer in this match.
Result | ||
Stranraer | Draw | Elgin City |
39.01% | 25.34% | 35.65% |
Both teams to score 56.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.71% | 47.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.48% | 69.51% |
Stranraer Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% | 23.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.84% | 58.15% |
Elgin City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.22% | 25.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.28% | 60.72% |
Score Analysis |
Stranraer | Draw | Elgin City |
1-0 @ 8.82% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.01% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 5.8% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.36% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.42% Total : 35.65% |
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