Alloa
1 - 2
Raith Rovers

Cawley (23')
Graham (54'), Hetherington (64'), Trouten (78')
Parry (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ugwu (56' pen.), Tait (61')
Duku (69')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

Alloa relegated after loss to Raith.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Raith Rovers
23.38%	23.62%	53.01%

Both teams to score 54.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.6%

46.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.32%

68.68%

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.96%

34.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.28%

70.72%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.54%

17.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.07%

47.93%

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 23.38%

Raith Rovers 53.01%

Draw 23.61%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 6.4% 2-1 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 3.45% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.21% Total : 23.38%	1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.61%	0-1 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 9.05% 1-3 @ 5.68% 0-3 @ 5.27% 2-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 2.48% 0-4 @ 2.3% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.72% Total : 53.01%