Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
