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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 88.76%. A draw had a probability of 8.2% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 3.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 4-0 (10.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
88.76% ( -1.22) | 8.21% ( 0.72) | 3.03% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 37.23% ( 2.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.42% ( -0.26) | 28.58% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.54% ( -0.32) | 49.46% ( 0.33) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.95% ( -0.24) | 4.05% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.97% ( -0.79) | 17.03% ( 0.79) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.8% ( 2.94) | 61.2% ( -2.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.75% ( 1.38) | 91.25% ( -1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 3-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.59) 2-0 @ 12.74% ( -0.29)4-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.7)1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 7% ( -0.59)3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.38)2-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.47)4-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.2)6-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.39)5-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.07)6-1 @ 1.84% 7-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.24)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.17)Other @ 4.54% Total : 88.74% | 1-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.25)Other @ 0.3% Total : 8.21% | 0-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.86% Total : 3.03% |
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