SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Hibernian win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Celtic |
22.55% ( -0.02) | 22.73% ( -0.01) | 54.72% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.32% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.59% ( 0.03) | 43.41% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.19% ( 0.03) | 65.8% ( -0.03) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( -0) | 33.13% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.27% ( -0) | 69.73% ( 0) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.23% ( 0.02) | 15.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.1% ( 0.04) | 44.9% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.19% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0)3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.55% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.91% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.8% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.53% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 54.72% |
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