SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Celtic |
29.85% ( 2.33) | 22.84% ( 0.61) | 47.3% ( -2.94) |
| Both teams to score 63.15% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.4% ( -1.36) | 37.59% ( 1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.17% ( -1.47) | 59.83% ( 1.47) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% ( 0.81) | 24.57% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.93% ( 1.13) | 59.06% ( -1.14) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% ( -1.54) | 16.27% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.17% ( -2.86) | 45.82% ( 2.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.42)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.85% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.4)0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.39)2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.33)0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.28)2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.19)1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.62% Total : 47.3% |
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