SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
31.44% ( -0.86) | 25.68% ( -0.06) | 42.88% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 54.14% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( -0.01) | 49.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( -0.01) | 71.78% ( 0.01) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( -0.57) | 29.6% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% ( -0.71) | 65.63% ( 0.71) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( 0.45) | 23.1% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% ( 0.66) | 56.94% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.44% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.87% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
