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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Aberdeen |
44.55% ( 1.17) | 24.67% ( -0.29) | 30.78% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.34% ( 0.93) | 45.66% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.02% ( 0.88) | 67.98% ( -0.88) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( 0.91) | 20.58% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.89% ( 1.42) | 53.11% ( -1.43) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( -0.12) | 27.99% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.37% ( -0.15) | 63.63% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.78% |
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