SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Hearts |
26.19% ( -0.21) | 23.29% ( 0.13) | 50.52% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.59% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.68% ( -0.77) | 42.32% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.28% ( -0.78) | 64.72% ( 0.78) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% ( -0.57) | 29.52% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% ( -0.7) | 65.54% ( 0.7) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.14% ( -0.25) | 16.86% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.12% ( -0.46) | 46.88% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 26.19% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.53% |
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