SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Motherwell |
47.89% ( 1.15) | 25.4% ( -0.05) | 26.71% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.11% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.93% ( -0.49) | 51.07% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.07% ( -0.43) | 72.93% ( 0.44) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% ( 0.31) | 21.34% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.7% ( 0.47) | 54.3% ( -0.47) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% ( -1.13) | 33.75% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.59% ( -1.24) | 70.41% ( 1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.89% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.71% |
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