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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2021 at 3pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
DL

Motherwell
1 - 0
Dundee

Watt (34')
van Veen (73'), Kelly (80')
Carroll (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McGowan (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Motherwell in this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawDundee
37.85%26.08%36.07%
Both teams to score 53.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.46%50.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.54%72.46%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95%26.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.91%61.08%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94%27.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.57%62.43%
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 37.85%
    Dundee 36.07%
    Draw 26.08%
MotherwellDrawDundee
1-0 @ 9.48%
2-1 @ 8.34%
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.85%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.05%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 8.1%
0-2 @ 6.02%
1-3 @ 3.53%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 36.07%

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