Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hibernian in this match.
