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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Hearts |
33.47% ( 0.62) | 26.12% ( -0.03) | 40.4% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 53.4% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.95% ( 0.27) | 51.05% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( 0.24) | 72.9% ( -0.24) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( 0.54) | 28.89% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% ( 0.66) | 64.76% ( -0.67) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.1% ( -0.19) | 24.9% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.48% ( -0.26) | 59.52% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.48% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 10% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 4% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.4% |
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