SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Dundee United |
52.87% ( -0.19) | 22.48% ( 0.11) | 24.65% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.78% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.97% ( -0.43) | 40.03% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.61% ( -0.45) | 62.39% ( 0.45) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.79% ( -0.21) | 15.21% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.15% ( -0.41) | 43.85% ( 0.41) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% ( -0.17) | 29.5% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.49% ( -0.21) | 65.52% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Dundee United |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.88% Total : 52.87% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 24.65% |
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