SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 65.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 15.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
65.78% ( -0.01) | 18.94% ( 0.01) | 15.28% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.53% ( -0.02) | 37.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.3% ( -0.02) | 59.7% ( 0.02) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.36% ( -0.01) | 10.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.53% ( -0.02) | 34.47% ( 0.01) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.61% ( -0) | 37.39% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.83% ( -0) | 74.17% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
| 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.46% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.34% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.72% Total : 65.78% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.83% 0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.94% | 1-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.59% 1-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.13% Total : 15.28% |
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