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Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cappielow Park
HL

Morton
0 - 1
Hearts


Baird (24'), Broadfoot (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vargas (86')
Devlin (43'), Grant (59'), Shankland (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morton 0-1 Dundee Utd
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Celtic
Sunday, March 3 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Greenock Morton 1-4 Hearts

With all the pressure on Hearts, Morton will feel like they can play with a certain level of freedom to cause one of the upsets of this year's competition. However, we cannot see Hearts faltering on Monday night, the visitors likely to run out convincing victors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawHearts
34% (-0.341 -0.34) 25.79% (0.032 0.03) 40.2% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 54.6% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (-0.202 -0.2)49.56% (0.201 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41% (-0.181 -0.18)71.58% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (-0.30799999999999 -0.31)27.84% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.56% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)63.44% (0.392 0.39)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (0.069000000000003 0.07)24.33% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (0.097999999999999 0.1)58.72% (-0.1 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 34%
    Hearts 40.2%
    Draw 25.79%
Greenock MortonDrawHearts
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 34%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.57% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.77% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.19% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Morton 0-1 Dundee Utd
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 0-2 Inverness
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 0-0 Morton
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 2-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Queen's Park 0-0 Morton
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 2-1 Motherwell
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Celtic
Sunday, March 3 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-1 Hibernian
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 5-0 Hearts
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Motherwell
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-4 Hearts
Sunday, February 11 at 5pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 Hearts
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership


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