SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
45.93% ( 0.03) | 23.06% ( 0.01) | 31.01% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 63.06% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62% ( -0.1) | 38% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.74% ( -0.11) | 60.26% ( 0.11) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( -0.03) | 16.95% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.97% ( -0.05) | 47.03% ( 0.04) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( -0.08) | 24.06% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.66% ( -0.11) | 58.34% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0)Other @ 4.24% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.01% |
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