SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
44.82% ( -0.16) | 24.03% ( 0.08) | 31.14% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.62% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( -0.32) | 42.56% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.03% ( -0.32) | 64.96% ( 0.32) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( -0.19) | 19.2% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.12% ( -0.32) | 50.88% ( 0.32) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( -0.1) | 26.21% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.68% ( -0.14) | 61.31% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.25% Total : 44.82% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.14% |
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