SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | Dundee United |
41.54% ( 0.05) | 26.76% ( 0.03) | 31.7% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.89% ( -0.13) | 54.11% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.47% ( -0.11) | 75.53% ( 0.11) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.31% ( -0.03) | 25.69% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.39% ( -0.04) | 60.61% ( 0.05) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.39% ( -0.11) | 31.61% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.99% ( -0.13) | 68.01% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.53% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.7% |
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