SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Aberdeen |
36.07% ( -0.08) | 27.21% ( 0.06) | 36.71% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.24% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.79% ( -0.22) | 55.21% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.55% ( -0.18) | 76.44% ( 0.18) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( -0.15) | 29.31% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.72% ( -0.19) | 65.28% ( 0.19) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( -0.09) | 28.92% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.2% ( -0.12) | 64.8% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.07% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.71% |
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