SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Hibernian win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Hibernian |
50.95% ( 0.11) | 24.61% ( -0.25) | 24.44% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( 0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.43% ( 1.14) | 49.57% ( -1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.4% ( 1.02) | 71.59% ( -1.01) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.54% ( 0.49) | 19.45% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.7% ( 0.8) | 51.3% ( -0.8) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.16% ( 0.75) | 34.84% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.42% ( 0.78) | 71.57% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.96% Total : 50.95% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 24.44% |
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