A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matches sides is set to take place at Pittodrie, and although Livingston will have a slight psychological advantage – having won the last two meetings against Aberdeen – we can see the hosts coming away with a least a point on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.