SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 81.52%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 6.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.44%) and 1-2 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.45%), while for a Hearts win it was 2-1 (2.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Celtic |
6.65% ( -0.26) | 11.84% ( 0.1) | 81.52% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.62% ( -2.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.87% ( -1.86) | 28.13% ( 1.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.1% ( -2.34) | 48.9% ( 2.35) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.39% ( -2.24) | 46.61% ( 2.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.81% ( -1.76) | 82.19% ( 1.77) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.83% ( -0.32) | 5.18% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 79.5% ( -0.97) | 20.5% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.72% Total : 6.65% | 1-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.26)Other @ 0.89% Total : 11.84% | 0-2 @ 10.57% ( 0.72) 0-3 @ 10.44% ( 0.5)1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 7.97% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 7.73% ( 0.21)0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.63)1-4 @ 5.9% ( -0.21)0-5 @ 4.58% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 3.49% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.24)0-6 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.23)1-6 @ 1.73% ( -0.14)2-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.17)0-7 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.04% Total : 81.51% |
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