SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | St Mirren | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 7 | Livingston | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 8 | Hibernian | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Ross County | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 6 | -8 | 4 |
| 12 | Dundee United | 6 | -16 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Livingston in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Livingston.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Kilmarnock |
38.4% ( -0.45) | 28.17% ( 0.03) | 33.43% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.95% ( -0.04) | 59.05% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.49% ( -0.03) | 79.51% ( 0.04) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( -0.28) | 29.79% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.14% ( -0.35) | 65.87% ( 0.35) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( 0.27) | 32.96% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.46% ( 0.29) | 69.54% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.39% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.42% |
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