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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
61.07% ( -0.01) | 21.27% ( -0.01) | 17.66% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.15% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.25% ( 0.05) | 43.75% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.86% ( 0.04) | 66.14% ( -0.04) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.15% ( 0.01) | 13.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.78% ( 0.03) | 41.21% ( -0.02) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% ( 0.05) | 38.31% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.93% ( 0.04) | 75.07% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.84% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.34% 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 61.05% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.27% | 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 17.66% |
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