Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	St Mirren
36.46%	26.59%	36.94%

Both teams to score 52.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.31%

52.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.67%

74.33%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.14%

27.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.54%

63.46%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.42%

27.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.9%

63.1%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 36.46%

St Mirren 36.94%

Draw 26.58%

Kilmarnock	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.46%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.94%