Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
