Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 11

Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK

Almondvale Stadium

Livingston
1 - 3
Kilmarnock

Pittman (11')
Tiffoney (27'), Bartley (66'), Guthrie (84'), Ambrose (90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Tshibola (24'), Burke (37' pen.), Kiltie (57')

Gary Holt: 'Robbie McCrorie's mistake didn't cost us against Kilmarnock'

Alex Dyer lavishes praise on "honest" Kilmarnock players

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Aaron Tshibola, Chris Burke and Greg Kiltie took the points.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Livingston	Draw	Kilmarnock
47.29%	27.63%	25.08%

Both teams to score 44.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.69%

60.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.53%

80.47%

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.4%

25.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.52%

60.48%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.78%

40.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.15%

76.85%

Score Analysis

Livingston 47.29%

Kilmarnock 25.08%

Draw 27.62%

Livingston	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 14.02% 2-0 @ 9.56% 2-1 @ 8.71% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.08% Total : 47.29%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.62%	0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 5.82% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.34% Total : 25.08%