SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | St Johnstone |
40.39% ( 0.57) | 27.29% ( -0.46) | 32.32% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.4% ( 1.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.99% ( 1.7) | 56.01% ( -1.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.9% ( 1.36) | 77.09% ( -1.36) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( 1.12) | 27.19% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.4% ( 1.44) | 62.6% ( -1.44) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( 0.8) | 32.15% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.36% ( 0.9) | 68.64% ( -0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.06)Other @ 2% Total : 40.38% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.59)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.32% |
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