SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberdeen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Livingston |
56.05% ( -0.05) | 22.97% ( 0.02) | 20.98% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.31% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.65% ( -0.03) | 46.34% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.37% ( -0.03) | 68.63% ( 0.03) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.65% ( -0.03) | 16.35% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.04% ( -0.05) | 45.96% ( 0.05) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.73% ( 0.01) | 36.26% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.95% ( 0.02) | 73.05% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 56.05% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.97% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.98% |
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