SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
28.42% ( 0.02) | 26.19% ( -0.01) | 45.39% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.95% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.83% ( 0.05) | 53.17% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.26% ( 0.04) | 74.74% ( -0.04) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( 0.04) | 33.51% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.85% ( 0.04) | 70.15% ( -0.04) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.64% ( 0.02) | 23.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.67% ( 0.02) | 57.32% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.42% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.83% Total : 45.39% |
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