SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 24 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 23 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 23 | 2 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Livingston | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Motherwell |
38.19% ( -0.04) | 25.28% ( 0.04) | 36.52% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 56.71% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.01% ( -0.17) | 46.99% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.76% ( -0.16) | 69.23% ( 0.16) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( -0.1) | 24.23% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.42% ( -0.14) | 58.58% ( 0.14) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( -0.08) | 25.14% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.14% ( -0.11) | 59.86% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.19% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 36.52% |
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