Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 52.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.